Future tobacco

[jmatkins]

So I was thinking some this week......I know that is a scary thought but work with me here.

With the last few Hurricanes and Tropical Storms in Cuba and the DR when or will we see a slump in tobacco? As of last night Gustav had winds a 150mph so it was to be ripping up crop on the islands, so at this point do most companies have enough saved up so they wont be affected. Just wondeing.

 

[uncelnino]

Good thought, if I understand the process correctly, the harvest of the crop would be in October, which means that some nearly mature plants would have been destroyed. I don't know what kind of ability a plant has to rejuvenate if it is damaged but i am sure that a month would not be enough time for that process to take place. I don't know what percentage of sticks use the current years crop in production, but it seems to me that most sticks made from older crops now anyway ( i have no figures to support this, just thinking out loud). I also think that most of the major producers have prepared for such a scenario and have stockpiled enough to make sure that their production does not drop. Someone who knows more than my basic assumptions would be more suited to answer this properly.

 

[smokinghole]

I was wondering the same thing. It makes me glad I mostly smoke Nic cigars. Not sure how much that matters though.

 

[daniyal]

I think it takes three years after harvest for a plant to make it to the rolling table so we should be good for another couple of years before people start talking about a cigar shortage.

 

[indyrob]

Hurricanes and Tropical Storms are not a new thing...the island has been through this before countless times.

 

[amgracing]

Hurricanes and Tropical Storms are not a new thing...the island has been through this before countless times.

agreed they have a hurricane or 2 every year shouldnt be a big deal

 

[indyrob]

Imagine the excess tobacco crop IF there wasn't any hurricanes though....

 

[Angry Bill]

I talked to a guy from Cuba today, who said the huricanes are not as a big of a deal as you would think. Most tobacco farms grow excess, which they stock pile or sell.. So we will all have lot's of yummies for a long time coming..

 

[Moro]

I found meself wondering the same thing not so long ago, only to realise how common tropical storms and hurricanes are in the caribbean. They'll make it; they always do. Also, most tobacco farmers have put away all their drying leaves and would be pretty much sacrificing only this year's young ones.

 

[jmatkins]

Yea I was just wondering, I had a felling that they had some excess. However if the BIG One hit and say wipe out a whole plantaion woudl we ever see an impact or do they have that much in storage.

This was just going thru my haed as of late since a whole field was whipe out from some storms in Conn valey this year. Good info guys.

 

[Daviso27]

From what I understand, the tobacco crops are harvested in between the mountains of the island...Hurricanes do not affect these areas AS MUCH as low or high plains!

To be safe if anyone is interested in some CC box splits, lets do it know before we are to late!